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Monday, August 30, 2010

Sachin Tendulkar and other legends

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Sachin Tendulkar at Adelaide OvalThe Little Master WikipediaYet another research report was done recently by a set of researchers in Australia on the best batsman in the history of cricket - the result was a known one. The best batsman in the world was Sir Don Bradman.
There were changes in the remaining batsmen based on their averages. But, there is a fundamental flaw in this process, as per my thinking.

Why are we trying to include Bradman in the calculations and comparisons. Everyone who is living and dead, old and young, veterans and newcomers, have acknowledged the fact that Sir Don is the greatest of all batsmen in test cricket.



Why dont we then, compare the other batsmen against Don, rather than trying to measure all of them with arbitrary values?

I tried to do the same exercise pitting the best batsman in modern times, Sachin Tendulkar, against the Don.
To find out the matches or the opponents where Sachin failed against, I did a comparison of their %runs scored against %innings played. That is, if a player played against a specific country for 20% of his overall number of test innings, he should have scored 20% of his overall number of runs. If the difference is 0 or a positive value, it means that the player had a performance that was comparable to his overall numbers. If it was a negative difference, this showed that the player fared badly against the country or in that situation. Lesser the negatives will determine the greatness of a player. It takes the average out of the equation since I am not worried about the not-outs - just taking the innings played into consideration. I like to call this as the 'DoP' value (Difference of Percentages).

What were the results? It turned out to be quite interesting. There are some limitations in the approach taken, however - I will mention it as we go along the comparison process.

Sachin's consistency across the years has been a wonder to look - only 2 years (2003 and 2006) has his performance been not satisfactory, 2003 seeing him play only 5 matches. 7 of his other years has seen him dip slightly - a real marvel at his tendency to be consistent throughout his career. Bradman, on the other hand, showed interesting figures - 3 of his years having the dip (though to be fair, 2 years saw him playing only 2 and 3 test matches in the year) with 3 other years showing a smaller dip.
Bradman played only 4 countries during his life-time (India, South Africa, West Indies, England), scoring 72% of his runs against his traditional rivals England, while playing in 70% of the matches overall. Against West Indies, he scored 6% of his runs while playing in 10% of his tests - a difference of 4% on the negative side. The average also dips by more than 20%. Here, one has to say that the number of matches played against WI was only 5 - hardly a sample to compare.

Tendulkar, on the other hand, has negative differences against NewZealand, Pakistan and South Africa (more against the latter two countries) - he has a chance to make the numbers better later this year against NZ (at home) and SA. He has a positive difference against the other four countries (Australia, England, Zimbabwe, Bangladesh) & 0 difference against 2 others (Sri Lanka, West Indies). South Africa has been among the top-3 ranked teams during Sachin's playing lifetime. Even though NZ and Pakistan have not been consistent in their performances in test cricket but have managed to keep Sachin down.

Bradman has a negative difference at home, compared to his performances away - quite interesting really. He seemed to relish the English conditions more than the ones at hoome. Similarly, if one looks at Sachin's performances across the world, he has again shown a good difference in Australia and England, 2 places where the conditions are quite different than at home. South Africa, again, has resulted in Sachin's performance going down a bit - a reflection of the talented bowling attack that the Proteas have had over the years. Just like the Don, Sachin averages in the negative at home also!! His performance in Pakistan, West Indies and Zimbabwe have slightly dipped as well - one can argue that Sachin has played against Windies when they had better bowling attacks than now.

I have done similar charts with 3 other players who have scored the highest number of runs in the history of cricket - Brian Lara, Ricky Ponting and Rahul Dravid. The countries where they have scored less against as well as the countries they have scored less in, are compared.

This chart shows the performances of the four current greats against all opponents.Dravid against Australia, South Africa seems to be on the -ve side while Lara has a greater negative against India and NewZealand. Ponting has a difference against India but not very high.

This chart shows the performances of the same batsmen in all countries. Ponting in India, Lara in Australia, Dravid in Sri Lanka are the major differences.

Verdict: Each have their weak points but overall, Sachin has a good score against all countries but Ponting seems to have the better score playing in all countries.
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Pakistan and the Rest of the World

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Pakistan Cricket Team under a cloud...Always Under a cloud
Why is that only the Pakistan cricket team gets caught in such situations where their players are caught in drug-trafficking or match-fixing or spot-fixing? Is it purely coincidental or is it because the players from other teams are more smarter (that they don't get caught) ?

For, a person (or a team in this case) is guilty only if proven. Even though nothing might come out of this allegation very clearly, there is enough room for suspicion. During the last series against Australia, the Pakistan team was under doubt. Many players were banned, fined by the Board, only to be recalled for the tour to England.

Just as the English tour, on which the bowlers had done well (they in fact, relished the conditions on offer), was ending, this new controversy had to erupt. Many questions arise from this latest incident. What is the PCB doing? Can they not clean up its act and bring everyone upto the book? Is there a bigger force in play, in the country, that is dictating these activities?

The youngsters are also not to be blamed. They can witness the euphoria of players less talented than them, across the border, becoming millionaires within no time, thanks to the IPL. For Pakistan, not only are they not able to play in IPL, thanks to the domestic situation at home, they are not having any similar tournaments being staged back home. Even an appearance against a ruling team is not possible, thanks to the non-interest by cricketing teams to tour Pakistan after the firing incident against the visiting Sri Lankans. The salary structure, I am sure, must be relatively lower than the other countries, with the exception of Bangladesh. In this environment, can the youngsters not fall prey to the lure of additional income? Very unlikely. This is the only explanation I can see for someone young and impressive as Mohammad Amir to fall prey to. This post is not to justify the doings of the young team but the conditions are there for all to see.

The ICC needs to get in and ban PCB till it cleans up its house. But, with Sharad Pawar heading the ICC now, any action against Pakistan will take on a very different political tone.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010

A dream lineup it would be

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As one sees the Pakistan team fighting to win their first match of the series against the home English side, there has been a lot of discussion on the sides of what could have been. Yes, what could have been if India and Pakistan were not two different countries, fighting against each other but ONE. The One country it was before Independence. What would be the test line-up be today? Quite a powerful team, wouldnt it be?


Lets see the playing eleven first
  • Virender Sehwag and Gautam Gambhir would be the ideal openers in this team with Salman Butt coming close to breaking the partnership. He will be present in the squad for any injury concerns but not good enough to make the playing eleven.
  • Rahul Dravid still holds his side in the Indian team and that is a good reason why he should be playing in this Combined XI. There are not many players in the current Pakistan team who can boast of his numbers other than Mohammed Yusuf but with the veteran struggling to make his mark, Dravid holds his place.
  • Sachin Tendulkar and VVS Laxman occupy the next two slots in the batting lineup thanks to their great performances as well as recent form.
  • For the 6th batsmen slot, I am more comfortable with the youth of Umar Akmal rather than that of Suresh Raina and Yuvraj Singh. His talent is visible for everyone to see and playing in such a team will make his temperament only better.
  • Wicket-keeper and Captain - no further questions. It is the Indian skipper, MS Dhoni.
  • The spinner slot is taken by Saeed Ajmal with Harbhajan being the backup bowler in the squad. Ajmal has been bowling quite well in recent times coinciding with Bhajji's lack of form. 
  • Umar Gul, Mohammed Aasif, Zaheer Khan form the pace bowling trio who will be responsible for the new ball attack.  Mohammed Aamer will be the other bowler who will be available for other options. 
With this fourteen, it is highly unlikely that any team would be able to beat in any conditions. This team can be managed by a strong personality like Sunil Gavaskar or Imran Khan. Why not? After all, it is a nice dream for one to have, right?

What do you think? Is there anyone else who will make the team as of today?
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Monday, August 16, 2010

India's Top 30 players for the 2011 World Cup

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BCCI logoImage via WikipediaHarsha Bhogle has written about the No.7 slot for the Indian team - very valid point about the absence of a proper allrounder (preferably a pace-bowling one) at No.7.
To get an idea of the strategy that might be on the mind of the team management, one has to look at the players who have represented the country at the ODI level in the last year or two - more specifically the list of players who have represented from 1st January 2009 till this year's Independence Day (full list is available here).

Very interesting stats in fact can be seen from this list - one can come up with the long-list of 30 players who will be selected for the World Cup - who are they?
  1. Openers - Tendulkar, Sehwag, Gambhir, Dinesh Karthick (reserve wicket-keeper), M Vijay
  2. Middle-order - Suresh Raina, Yuvraj Singh, Virat Kohli, Ravinder Jadeja, Yusuf Pathan, Rohit Sharma,
  3. Pace bowlers - Zaheer Khan, Ashish Nehra, Ishant Sharma, Praveen Kumar, Sreesanth, Mithun, RP Singh, A Dinda, Munaf Patel, Irfan Pathan, Vinay Kumar, Abhishek Nayar, Jayadev Unadkat
  4. Spinners - Harbhajan Singh, Pragyan Ojha, Amit Mishra, R Ashwin, Piyush Chawla
  5. Captain and Wicket-keeper - MS Dhoni
It looks like there is not much one can do from now onwards till the World Cup for any new player to be added to the team now.
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Sunday, August 08, 2010

MSD maintains his no-loss series record

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Mahendra Singh Dhoni at Adelaide OvalImage via Wikipedia
By winning the last test in Sri Lanka, India avoided the series defeat and managed to retain captain Dhoni's record of not having lost a series so far. Dhoni has now captained India to 10 wins in his reign of 16 matches (2 of them ending up on the losing side). After winning the first test convincingly, the Lankans fortunes dipped due to various reasons - Muralitharan's retirement being one of the main one.

The Lankans will have to endure the journey of not having workhorses like Vaas and Muralitharan till they find one who can take wickets on foreign soils as well. Malinga, definitely, is one potential match-winner but his fitness seems to be a cause of concern. Even in this series, he missed the 2nd and didnt bowl much on the final day of the series. Randiv has potential to be the lead bowler but he needs support from the other end. Mendis has been critically viewed by Video analysts all over the world which has helped batsmen face him better - he needs to reinvent himself to be a better bowler than what he is now. Without this, it is very difficult for Sri Lanka to continue their impressive run at home also.

The Lankans bowled more and took more wickets - Randiv, Malinga and Murali were the highest wicket-takers in the series. Sangakkara scored the highest runs on both sides but the Indians fought back hard in the series after Murali's departure. Sehwag starred in the Top-5 players in both the batting and bowling charts - he thoroughly deserved to be the Man of the Series.

Just like the Oz team won the ODI series in India without their main bowlers to justify their No.1 status, the Indians did a repeat by  drawing the series even after the two strike bowlers (Zaheer Khan and Harbhajan Singh) withdrew from the bowling line. The batting department seems to be working just fine with Vijay being an impressive reserve for the openers. Yuvraj and Raina provide options to the fourth slot at the middle-order where Dravid, Tendulkar and Laxman provide the experience. Dhoni's batting was not upto the mark in this series but he managed to rally his team well at the crucial times. The fourth day of the 3rd test was one where India had a whiff of victory and they grabbed it with both hands. The victory could have come earlier but for some strange tactics by the captain.

Mithun was one of the finds of the tour, though he didnt have many wickets to show - a good potential worth investing, just for his fitness. Ojha did what was expected of him in the last test and repaid the faith of the Team Management. Mishra did do  better than what Harbhajan had managed in the first two tests, both with the bat and ball. But, overall, the spin department is also a cause of concern for the No.1 team - something that needs attention before the Oz come home.

The No.1 ranking continues for one more series - it wouldnt have mattered if they had lost the series though. The Indian team did well to come from behind and level the series - that showed glimpses of character that is expected from a No.1 team. Will they manage to show the same level in the next series against Australia? Let us hope they do.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010

Laxman takes India home at PSS

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He is not the player with the highest number of caps like Sachin Tendulkar. He does not score runs at the rate that suits T20 more than test matches, a la Virender Sehwag. He is not called India's Wall nor has he gained recognition as the best player on the off-side like Sourav Ganguly. But, the fifth jewel in India's Formidable Five top-order batsmen has not gained recognition like the other four. Whenever there is a talk of change of strategy or plans to include an additional bowler, the name invariably that comes to the minds of all media-men (hopefully not the selection committee or team management) is that of VVS Laxman.

Today, he showed once again, what a gem he has been and why he is one whom the other legends think highly of. He has been always associated with the 281 that he scored against Australia. His exploits against Australia both at home and outside, have been talked about, very highly. But, he is not just that much. His overall record might pale against the others in the team but whenever a need arises, he is one batsmen to rise to the occasion.One look at the high scores he has chalked up will make you agree. His average in the 4th innings of a match might not be very high but he was determined to make his mark in Sri Lanka. He had not scored a century in the Emerald Isle but that did not come to his mind.

Sourav Ganguly had scored a 98 in Kandy 2001 to take India to a target of 264 against an attack including Murali and Vaas.Would the Indians repeat the feat? Sehwag was expected to play a major role in the victory but he was already back in the hut. Sri Lanka had not lost in PSS since 1994. Having a very impressive record at home, Sri Lanka knew the conditions very well. Of course, Murali's absence made a major impact on the match but India had to get the runs dictated by the Lankans. The bowlers (who were inexperienced after the withdrawls, next to the Chennai 2001 team) had done their bit by taking 20 wickets - the batsmen had to deliver now.

When India started in the morning, many thought that India were not the favorites to win the match. Jayasuriya, on air, even went to the extent of giving odds of 90-10 in favor of Sri Lanka. Sachin and Ishant started the proceedings but Randiv struck early to get rid of the night watchman. In strode VVS Laxman. The conditions were not impossible to play but the mind-games had started early in the game. Sangakkara started the proceedings with Welegedera (in place of Malinga or Mendis) along with Randiv. Even the legend gave a chance early in his innings and lost his concentration when VVS had back spasms.

But not VVS. He made sure that he took India home by his valuable contribution and stayed there when the winning runs were hit. He always seemed to have the extra seconds to judge the spin, bounce and play shots accordingly. The leg-side plan that Sangakkara deployed was to his advantage as he used his wrists to pierce the field. Sehwag's presence (he seems to be everywhere on the field) helped VVS in his running. Raina took some risks initially and played his natural game. But, it was one man who made telling contributions to the Indian score today - a Very Very Special Laxman. May he go on to provide some more gems before he calls it a day.
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Friday, August 06, 2010

PSS Colombo Test - anybody's game

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CENTURION, SOUTH AFRICA - SEPTEMBER 22:  Ajant...Mendis & Randiv
The final test of the series between India and Sri Lanka stands tantalizingly poised after the end of 4 days. Sri Lanka holds the edge mainly because of the runs scored already. India have to get close to 200 runs with 3 of their front-line batsmen dismissed.

In the morning, one thought that India might be chasing a score of less than 100 when the 7th wicket fell. But, partnerships between Samaraweera and Malinga, Mendis ensured that the final target for the Indians was more than 250. The field-placing was not upto Dhoni's level - having got rid of the more dangerous Sangakkara and Jayawardene, he was allowing Thilan to take the singles and retain strike. What this meant that the tailenders could hit out against the spinners.

Repeated changes of bowlers didnt help - Sehwag's golden arm couldnt break the partnerships - India missed the Zaheer Khan for his experience and mentoring (the bowlers). Harbhajan, being not in form, was not so much missed - Ojha and Mishra bowled within their limitations and took the wickets. The tail, as is usual in all Indian matches, wagged and got valuable runs for the Indian team.

The Indian innings started with a heart-break - Sehwag getting out on a duck (11th such dismissal on 0). His average in 4th innings is almost half of his career average - of late, he had been batting better but today was a repeat of his old failing. Vijay had a good chance to stake his claim in the absence of Gambhir - he failed after promising much. Rahul Dravid failed once again - he has averaged 19 in this test series - cause for concern since he has not had much practice before the series. Hopefully, by the time the Oz team is in for the test series, he would have picked up his form.

Tomorrow, the Indian team would depend on Sachin Tendulkar to do his act against England again, this time with VVS and Raina. The Indian team missed an opportunity to close the match today but tomorrow they will have to play well to win the match and square the series. The onus is on the Legend to take India to the shores. The team that will win one session more than the other tomorrow will decide the conclusion of the match and series.
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Monday, August 02, 2010

Suggestions for BCCI

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What started out as mere a discussion (with Prem on twitter) on Harbhajan Singh’s omission from the triangular series squad, turned out to bigger issues in the BCCI setup. Then, I realized that if I feel that there are issues that BCCI has to take up, I shouldn’t just keep cribbing but come up with a laundry list along with suggestions to improve.

Hence, I tried to figure out what were the areas of improvement for BCCI?
  • A permanent Manager is important - the BCCI seems to have made some progress on this front. They have appointed Ranjib Biswal for the last few tours, especially after the restaurant fiasco during the World T20. Will it be followed as a practice or was this a one-off stance? Time will tell.
  • NCA was supposed to have a camp for spinners. Looking at our spinners on display at the Lankan series, one wonders if there is any progress on the intentions. Who next is the question on everyone's minds? Because of lack of choice, Harbhajan Singh is still playing for the national team even with repeated poor performances.
  • A committee of Senior players (someone more accountable than Shastri, Gavaskar & Pataudi) who will lay the mandate for the Selection Committee, Coaches and Indian players. This committee will oversee on a periodic basis, the progress being made by the Indian team on various aspects. They will also discuss with the selectors on the various strategies (short, mid, long terms) that the team has to take to retain and continue with the top rankings.
  • Indian Cricket Players Organization was launched way back in 2002. Nothing of note has come out of the organization even when players like Tendulkar, Dravid are playing for the country. This is very important for the players to voice their concerns and opinions on various issues that come in their way. It now looks like the team has no say in any matters, cricketing or not.
  • Player Mentor - Again, after the IPL, there were suggestions that a senior player would take care of the youngsters in the team and ensure that they dont err because of their exposure to the excessive money involved. Will Anil Kumble get involved in such a venture?
  • Contract committee - this team should review the performances of the players in the National team as well as 'A' teams and suggest who need to be covered under the contract.
  • NCA needs to be revamped and continuous review of the happenings is essential to keep the associated people of NCA on their toes. They will have to keep track of the fitness issues of players (those under contract) and ensure that the breakdown of players doesn't happen repeatedly.
  • The current Pitch committee is not working for domestic matches. They will have to be reviewed and necessary changes incorporated.
  • Talent identification - All IPL teams have one while there is none at the national level. Why? Is the BCCI not worried about finding the next Sachin Tendulkar or Kapil Dev?
  • Captaincy support - When MS Dhoni fails in one or two series, who will he go to? Is there a system where he can take advice from the likes of Sourav Ganguly or Azharuddin?
  • Innovative practices has to be introduced regularly based on the happenings around the world. A Center of Excellence would be good to take Indian cricket to the pinnacle. This will ensure that the Indian team stays ahead of the rest of the World in all aspects.
  • I am not getting into the financial aspects of the Board as we know how messy and dirty they can get.
Is the BCCI listening? Are they interested to take Indian cricket to the next level? Or will they just keep their mind on making more moolah per year?
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